The Minnesota Ruling: How a Legal Technicality Reshaped the Prediction Market’s Liquidity Horizon
The volume spike was not a surge; it was a flatline. On the morning of the...
Academy
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Neotoshi
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2026-07-31
#cftc
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On July 24, the CFTC's Market Surveillance Division issued Staff Letter 26-22...
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The CFTC Just Dropped the Anchor on Prediction Markets: Here’s Where the Smart Money Is Moving
The anchor dropped, but I was already airborne. On March 14, the CFTC issued...
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2026-07-27
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Hook On July 22, 2024, while most traders watched Bitcoin carve out a sleepy...
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2026-07-26
Polymarket's World Cup Triumph: 60 Million Spectators, But One Critical Blind Spot
On July 15, 2026, the FIFA World Cup final drew 60 million American viewers....
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Predicting Regime Collapse on Chain: The 10.5% Signal from Iran's Prediction Market
Over the past seven days, as protests in Iran spread from Tehran to smaller...
Academy
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Hook: The chain speaks in probabilities, not promises. On the Polymarket...
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The CLARITY Act Odds Dropped from 70% to 31%. Here Is the Structural Audit.
Most people mistake political progress for velocity. They see a bill pass a...
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The code whispers what the auditors ignore. For months, market participants...
Prediction Markets
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SignalSignal
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The Phantom-Hyperliquid Letter: DeFi's Last Stand or a Carefully Scripted Shadow Play?
The code is silent, but the ledger screams. On July 9, two of DeFi's most...
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The 24/7 Vault: Why CFTC's Delay on CME's Crude Oil Futures Reveals DeFi's Unspoken Edge
The data shows a stalemate. Over the past 14 months, CME Group's proposal for...
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2026-07-11
The 24/7 Casemma: When US Regulators Closed the Casino That Never Sleeps
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CryptoLark
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2026-07-10
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